By means of Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Japanese Phoebe, Leo’s Area, Lumpkin, Georgia, United States. “Leo’s House” is any such superb location. Is there an individual named Leo, who has a area? (Lumpkin has a ancient preservation program, so it’s imaginable there’s a area named “Leo’s House,” with a plaque, however if that is so, it doesn’t display up in seek. Lumpkin readers?)
“So many of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in fact a rational management of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
Not up to a part a hour to travel!
RCP Ballot Averages, Might 24:
A combined bag for Crew Trump, this era with some Swing States (extra right here) Brownian-motioning themselves again towards him, together with Pennsylvania. No longer, alternatively, Michigan, to which Trump paid a discuss with. In fact, it is going with out pronouncing that those are all order polls, due to this fact malicious, and many of the effects are inside the margin of error. If will probably be attention-grabbing to peer whether or not the decision in Pass judgement on Merchan’s court docket impacts the polling, and if that is so, how.
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Trump (R) (Bragg/Merchan): “Queens man convicted” [Queens Daily Eagle]. “Former Jamaica Estates resident Donald Trump was convicted by a Manhattan jury on Thursday of 34 counts of falsifying business records in an effort to cover up a sex scandal he feared would ruin his chances of winning the 2016 presidential election. The jury’s verdict, which came after only two days of deliberations, makes Trump the first president from Queens – or anywhere in the United States, for that matter – to become a felon. The conviction puts an end to the trial in Manhattan Criminal Court that began a month and a half ago, and brought hundreds of journalists and spectators of all stripes to the aging courthouse at 100 Centre Street. The trial was overseen by another man from the World’s Borough, Justice Juan Merchan, who was raised in Jackson Heights.” • Statement:
Proper, the conviction of Trump is each reputable and political retribution. When elite lawlessness is rampant, that’s what imposing the rule of thumb of regulation approach. https://t.co/stlxslQDoR
— Matt Stoller (@matthewstoller) Might 31, 2024
A “criminogenic environment,” as Invoice Dim worn to mention.
Trump (R): “Prosecutors Got Trump — But They Contorted the Law” [Ellie Honig, New York Magazine]. Use studying in moderation and in complete. “Both of these things can be true at once: The jury did its job, and this case was an ill-conceived, unjustified mess. Sure, victory is the great deodorant, but a guilty verdict doesn’t make it all pure and right…. The district attorney’s press office and its flaks often proclaim that falsification of business records charges are ‘commonplace‘…. But when you impose meaningful search parameters, the truth emerges: The charges against Trump are obscure, and nearly entirely unprecedented. In fact, no state prosecutor — in New York, or Wyoming, or anywhere — has ever charged federal election laws as a direct or predicate state crime, against anyone, for anything. None. Ever…. So, to inflate the charges up to the lowest-level felony (Class E, on a scale of Class A through E) — and to electroshock them back to life within the longer felony statute of limitations — the DA alleged that the falsification of business records was committed ‘with intent to commit another crime.’ Here, according to prosecutors, the ‘another crime’ is a New York State election-law violation, which in turn incorporates three separate ‘unlawful means’: federal campaign crimes, tax crimes, and falsification of still more documents. Inexcusably, the DA refused to specify what those unlawful means actually were — and the judge declined[1] to force them to pony up — until right before closing arguments. So much for the constitutional obligation to provide notice to the defendant of the accusations against him in advance of trial (This, folks, is what indictments are for.)” As I’ve been muttering for once in a while. Extra: “In these key respects, the charges against Trump aren’t just unusual. They’re bespoke, seemingly crafted individually for the former president and nobody else.” That may be known as a invoice of attainder[2].” • Once more, smartly virtue a learn. NOTES [1] Merchan and Bragg labored “in concert.” [2] I’ve been considering dried concerning the case structure and concluding that was once expertly built to deliver about this end result; the concealment of the “object offense” within the fees, for instance, at a loss for words protection all the way through and, as Honig issues out, denied the defendant the anticipation to organize a protection. I muttered as of late to Yves about “crafted,” despite the fact that I don’t assume I worn that paintings. However a complete kind Democrat flex-net — I might speculate — together with Bragg and rather perhaps Merchan, labored in this challenge; they did smartly. (At the flex-net, see “Inside the Off-the-Record Calls Held by Anti-Trump Legal Pundits.” Felony eagles, media personalities, former prosecutors. Incorrect point out of organs of order safety. Oddly.)
Trump (R): “Article 390 – NY Criminal Procedure Law, PRE-SENTENCE REPORTS” [The Law Firm of Andrew M. Stengel]. “S 390.30 Scope of pre-sentence investigation and report…. 2. Physical and mental examinations. Whenever information is available with respect to the defendant’s physical and mental condition, the pre-sentence investigation must include the gathering of such information. In the case of a felony or a class A misdemeanor, or in any case where a person under the age of twenty-one is convicted of a crime, the court may order that the defendant undergo a thorough physical or mental examination in a designated facility and may further order that the defendant remain in such facility for such purpose for a period not exceeding thirty days.” • Hmm. No less than for the “New York State Health Service Corps“: “(c) Designated facility or agency shall mean a facility or institution designated by the Commissioner of Health, in consultation with the State Health Service Corps advisory committee that is: (1) operated by: …. (iii) the Department of Correctional Services…,” amongst alternative entities. It will be great if the place of work of the practitioner doing the exam weren’t a patronage reward (i.e., managed by means of the Democrat Celebration), however who can say?
Trump (R): Editors in all places wrote precisely the similar headline (with a couple of diversifications manner decrease within the tale):
Let’s do that. As I’ve mentioned within the era, not anything makes a commentary on impressive information similar to the newspaper entrance web page. Throughout The us, nearly each essayist went with the straightforward reality, “Guilty.” Let’s get started with the most important move. /1 percent.twitter.com/7i2Ab6daW4
— Jason Kint (@jason_kint) Might 31, 2024
The tale concludes:
That’s the tip of my excursion. In fact, I paintings completely at the time of reports and leisure and those are newspapers however all the time like to put out the usefulness of our native markets, a plural press and the way we file historical past throughout them. /20
— Jason Kint (@jason_kint) Might 31, 2024
“The importance of our local markets, a plural press”… and not using a shred of irony! Seems to be extra like PMC training habits to me.
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Trump (R): “We Are Starting to Enjoy Hatred” [Peggy Noonan, Wall Street Journal]. “But some enjoy their hatred—this is the new part, and I think pretty widespread—because it helps them avoid seeing that they are involved in a tragedy. The tragedy is that one of two old men, neither of them great, neither of them distinguished in terms of character or intellect, who are each in his way an embarrassment, and whom two-thirds of voters do not want as presidential candidates, will be chosen, in this crucial historical moment in which the stakes could not be higher, to lead the most powerful nation on earth. One will likely fail physically in coming years—he’s failing now—and be replaced by a vice president who is wholly unsuited for the presidency because she is wholly unserious, who has had four years to prove herself in a baseline way and failed to meet even the modest standards by which vice presidents are judged. The other may, on being elected or even before then, be thrown into the slammer for one of the felony charges against him, including those connected to attempting to overthrow a democratic national election. This is a tragedy—that this is what we’ve got, these are our choices. When you’ve got a major hate on, you don’t have to notice.” • Dislike as a method of denialism; attention-grabbing thought.
Trump (R): “Trump campaign hauls in $35M, says it broke fundraising record after conviction” [Axios]. “Former President Trump’s campaign said Friday that it had a $34.8 million windfall after he was convicted of 34 felonies in his New York hush money trial. The presumptive GOP presidential nominee’s campaign said the haul was ‘nearly double’ its previous single-day fundraising record on the WinRed platform for Republican donors.” • Woo hoo!
Trump (R): “Karl Rove Warns That a Guilty Verdict Could Cost Trump Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania” [Mediaite]. “Fox News contributor and veteran political strategist Karl Rove said that a guilty verdict in presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump’s hush money trial could cost him the key swing states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania on Thursday. During an appearance on America Reports, Rove was asked to evaluate a recent NPR/PBS Newshour poll gauging how voters might react to a conviction. It found that 15% of both registered and independent voters would be more likely to vote for Trump in the case of a guilty verdict, while 17% of the former group and 11% of the latter would be less likely to support him. The remainders in both groups said a conviction would make no difference to their decision.” • As Rove issues out, 15% (registered, extra) – 17% (registered, much less) = 2% much less. The margins are too tiny to cr*p round.
Trump (R): “Guilt Complex: Trump’s Felony Convictions Are a Big Political Problem” [Politico]. “Trump simply cannot beat President Joe Biden relying solely on the votes of people who think his legal travails are a politically motivated scam, and who cheer Trump not in spite of his transgressions but because of them…. There are plenty of such people — enough to power this generation’s most important political movement — but still not enough to win the election…. [Clinton’s email scandal resonated] because for many people it painted a picture of someone who thought she operated above the rules. The Manhattan conviction, according to operatives in both parties, allows Biden to put Trump in a similar box. There are two demographic slices he’ll be aiming at with such an appeal. One is highly educated, highly informed traditional Republicans, who can reliably be expected to vote. They don’t like Trump but are open to voting for him because they regard Biden as too old or his administration as too anti-business. The conviction makes it harder for this group to rationalize a Trump vote as the best among bad alternatives. The other is low-information, less reliable voters. They typically aren’t paying close attention to the news, but a big event like the conviction can penetrate their consciousness in lasting ways. Among both groups the argument is less that Trump is a would-be dictator who could end democracy. It is that he is a self-absorbed agent of chaos who is too preoccupied with his own troubles to govern effectively. In both cases, small movements could have large consequences.” • With the exception of that “Trump is a would-be dictator who could end democracy” is a message the Democrats have had the knobs as much as 11 on for months (“What if This Is Our Last Real Election?”) Can they in point of fact simply flip the ones knobs right down to 0? And switch up the “agent of chaos” knob?
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Biden (D): “What the Biden campaign thinks the Trump verdict means” [CNN]. “The convictions might not move the needle in a major way in the election, those close to the Biden reelection effort told CNN, but an acquittal could have really helped Trump – and that makes Thursday’s historic decision a win for the Biden campaign, if only because it is not a loss. A sense of despondency had started to creep in from top supporters and donors in recent weeks, as more moments that reelection campaign strategists had projected would shift the race – the beginning of the 2024 calendar year, the end of the Republican primaries, the coming of spring when they figured more people would pay attention to Trump’s record—have come and gone without any notable movement in the polls or overall dynamics…. But the conviction on 34 counts has reassured some of their mantra that the more people focus on Trump and the choice ahead of them, the better Biden’s November is going to be – and to push back on the ‘nothing matters’ sensibility that has helped power Trump through so many other dark moments over his last nine years in politics.” • I assume “nothing matters” is a lowbrow manner of claiming nihilism; most likely a praise, in some way.
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Biden (D): “Biden’s problems with younger voters are glaring, poll finds” [NPR]. “Voters 18-29 years old made up roughly 1 in 6 voters in 2020, and President Biden won them by more than 20 points, according to exit polls. He won voters under 45, who were 40% of the electorate, by double-digits, too… [T]he latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll underscores the depth of his problems…. In a head-to-head matchup with Trump, Biden and Trump are in a statistical tie, with Biden narrowly ahead 50%-48%. He leads by just 4 points with voters under 45 and by 6 with Gen Z/Millennials. But when independents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West, as well as Green Party candidate Jill Stein are introduced, Biden trails Trump by 4 points. Trump leads by 6 with Gen Z/Millennials and by 8 with the under 45 group in this scenario.” Of the ones 18-29: “62% have an unfavourable opinion of him, year Trump will get a net-positive ranking — 49%-42%. That’s the absolute best favorability ranking for Trump of any of the time teams.
Biden (D): “One explanation for the 2024 election’s biggest mystery” [Eric Levitz, VOX]. “I’ve been toying with a different theory of the president’s woes, one that makes better sense of his peculiar demographic weaknesses: Voters with low levels of trust in society and the political system are shifting rightward. Donald Trump redefined the GOP in the eyes of many, associating the party with a paranoid vision of American life and a populist contempt for the nation’s political system. In response, Democrats rallied to the defense of America’s greatness, norms, and institutions. As the parties polarized on the question of whether America was ‘already great,’ voters with high levels of social trust and confidence in the political system became more Democratic, while those with low social trust and little faith in the government became more Republican. This miniature realignment was apparent in 2016 and 2020, according to some analysts. And there is some reason to think that it may have accelerated over the past four years. If it did, then Biden’s peculiar difficulties with young, nonwhite, and/or low-propensity voters would make more sense, as those demographic groups evince unusually little trust in their government or fellow Americans. This theory is merely speculative. It’s consistent with many data points but proven by none. If true, however, it does not bode well for the Biden campaign.” • Levitz, now not hastily, erases Covid; right here I beg that “belief scarring” from mendacity and betrayal throughout the Covid pandemic resulted in reduced believe.
Biden (D): “‘A dying empire led by bad people’: Poll finds young voters despairing over US politics” [Semafor (Nippersdad)]. “As part of the online poll of 943 18-30-year-old registered voters, Blueprint asked participants to respond to a series of questions about the American political system: 49% agreed to some extent that elections in the country don’t represent people like them; 51% agreed to some extent that the political system in the US ‘doesn’t work for people like me;’ and 64% backed the statement that ‘America is in decline.’ A whopping 65% agreed either strongly or somewhat that ‘nearly all politicians are corrupt, and make money from their political power’ — only 7% disagreed. ‘I think these statements blow me away, the scale of these numbers with young voters,’ Evan Roth Smith, Blueprint’s lead pollster, told Semafor. ‘Young voters do not look at our politics and see any good guys. They see a dying empire led by bad people.’” Importantly: “The data also found the COVID-19 pandemic has left a lasting, bad taste in the mouths of young voters: 51% of those polled said they were happier before the COVID-19 pandemic, 77% said that the event changed the country for the worse, and 45% said they feel less connected to friends and acquaintances compared with five years ago.” • See touch upon “belief scarring” instantly above.
Democrats en Déshabillé
“Joe Manchin leaves the Democratic Party, files as independent” [Axios]. Joe: “My work here is done.”
Syndemics
“I am in earnest — I will not equivocate — I will not excuse — I will not retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
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Covid Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; comprises many counties; Wastewater Scan, comprises drilldown by means of zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “Infection Control, Emergency Management, Safety, and General Thoughts” (particularly on hospitalization by means of town).
Lambert right here: Readers, thank you for the collective struggle. To replace any access, do really feel distant to touch me on the cope with given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic form. Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reviews); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Executive of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep defend available in the market!
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Censorship and Propaganda
I don’t understand how Trump’s Surgeon Normal was one of the most few sane voices round, however right here we’re:
Adams may be 100% proper at the fade untruth; I’m too time-pressed to appear it up, however I checked the transcript, and Trump didn’t say it. Pelosi mentioned he mentioned it, and the click ran with it. When is Adams getting to run for President so I will be able to vote for him?
Condition
“Hawaii sees rise in COVID-19 positivity amid variant spread” [Star Advertiser]. “The Hawaii Department of Health has tracked consecutive increases in COVID-19 positivity rates over the past five weeks as new variants take hold in the islands. Health officials today reported an average positivity rate of 10.5%, up from 8.5% the previous week. On May 1, the average positivity rate was at 4.3%. he FLiRT variants — named after the technical names for their mutations — are descendants of JN.1, which was dominant in the U.S. earlier this year. The mutations potentially make the variants more immune-evasive by improving their binding ability to cells, and could possibly drive a wave of new COVID cases this summer, according to Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. State health officials, meanwhile, are warning that COVID activity is on the rise, based on DOH’s new respiratory disease activity dashboard.” • Thankfully, Hawaii doesn’t have a significant world airport, with a accumulation of passangers travelling to and from… Oh, wait…
Elite Maleficence
They knew:
Just lately I noticed some Chance review paperwork from CDC on covid from Jan & Feb 2020. They’re attention-grabbing to mention the least.
So what’s a Chance Overview (RA)?
RA is a proper technique of inspecting a status & figuring out the dangers of what are you coping with.1/x
— Dr James Morris (@James___Morris) Might 30, 2024
Alert reader DD threw all the RA method over the transom:
Does produce you miracle the place the CDC whistleblowers have been. Is there a tradition of achievement at CDC? If that is so, it’s outstanding.
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Lambert right here: Affected person readers, I’m getting to must reconsider this fantastically formatted desk. Biobot information is long gone, CDC variant information purposes, ER visits are lifeless, CDC restrained necessary health facility information assortment, Unutilized York Instances dying information has restrained. (Be aware that the 2 metrics the hospital-centric CDC cared about, hospitalization and deaths, have each long gone dim). Preferably I might substitute hospitalization and dying information, however I’m now not certain how. I may additionally extend the wastewater category to incorporate (yech) Verily information, H5N1 if I will be able to get it. Tips and resources welcome. UPDATE I changed the Instances dying information with CDC information. Amusingly, the URL doesn’t come with parameters to create the tables; one should reconstruct upcoming manually each and every month. Caltrops abound.
TABLE 1: Day by day Covid Charts
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts unused as of late; all others aren’t up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution symbol, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) at the chart thumbnail and “open image in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (Biobot) Lifeless.
[2] (Biobot) Lifeless.
[3] (CDC Variants) FWIW, for the reason that the type utterly ignored KP.2.
[4] (ER) That is the most efficient I will be able to do for now. No less than information for all the pandemic is gifted.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Nonetheless going up, despite the fact that thankfully disagree signal of geometric build up. The Unutilized York town section has method; in 2020, as the house of 2 world airports (JFK and EWR) it was once an impressive access level for the virus into the rustic (and from thence up the Hudson River valley, because the affluent prosperous desired to retirement, and across the nation thru breeze move)
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). That is the most efficient I will be able to do for now. Be aware the supposition that Covid is seasonal is constructed into the presentation. No less than information for all the pandemic is gifted.
[7] (Walgreens) Going up.
[8] (Cleveland) Going up.
[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Knocking down.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants) KP.2 enters the chat, as does B.1.1.529.
[11] Deaths low, however positivity up.
[12] Deaths low, ED now not up.
Stats Monitor
Non-public Source of revenue: “United States Personal Income” [Trading Economics]. “US personal income rose by 0.3% from the previous month to $23.234 trillion in April of 2024, slowing from a 0.5% increase in the prior month, in line with market forecasts. Compensation of employees rose by 0.2%, a slight ease from the 0.6% gain the previous month, driven by slower increases in both wages and salaries (0.2% vs 0.6% in March) and supplements to wages and salaries (0.3% vs 0.4%).” • You are saying “ease” like that’s a just right factor.
Production: “United States Chicago PMI” [Trading Economics]. “The Chicago Business Barometer, also known as the Chicago PMI, dropped to 35.4 in May of 2024 from 37.9 in the prior month, sharply missing market forecasts that ranged from 41 to 42.”
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As of late’s Concern & Greed Index: 42 Impartial (earlier similar: 45 Impartial) [CNN]. One era in the past: 51 (Impartial). (0 is Utmost Concern; 100 is Utmost Greed). Utmost up to date Might 31 at 1:32:37 PM ET.
Information of the Stressed out
It’s not that i am feeling stressed as of late.
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Touch data for vegetation: Readers, really feel distant to touch me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a test in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me pictures of vegetation. Greens are fantastic! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you need your take care of to look as a credit score, please park it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). Another way, I will be able to anonymize by means of the use of your initials. See the former H2O Cooler (with plant) right here. From DW:
DW writes: “A Star Magnolia (magnolia stellata) reflecting light from the kitchen window, and blooming about two weeks earlier than last year. The birds using the feeder are a tad nonplussed by the blossoms, but are quickly adjusting to them. Coos County, Oregon.” I’m now not certain this difficult picture is a whole luck, nevertheless it’s a neat concept and I come with it within the hopes that others will probably be impressed to experiment with the methodology.
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Readers: H2O Cooler is a standalone entity now not coated by means of the once a year NC fundraiser. So in the event you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see anyplace else, please don’t hesitate to precise your revere in tangible method. Take note, a tip jar is for tipping! Common persuaded comments each makes me really feel just right and shall we me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. When I am getting disagree donations for 3 or 4 days I am getting nervous. Extra tangibly, a continuing trickle of donations is helping me with bills, and I consider that trickle when atmosphere fundraising targets:
This is the display that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
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