By means of Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chook Music of the Year
Oriole Warbler, Campement de Wassadou, Tambacounda, Senegal. “Duetting pair in ravine.” Proceed, Senegal!
* * *
In Case You Would possibly Omit…
(1) Extra on Trump’s trial…
(2) Biden and Trump to discuss (with out Kennedy).
(3) Uncooked milk fanatics face up to H5N1 “fearmongering.”
(4) North Carolina’s horrid anti-masking regulation, and methods to construct certain it doesn’t move.
* * *
Politics
“So many of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in fact a rational management of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
* * *
2024
Not up to a part a age to move!
RCP Ballot Averages, Would possibly 10:
Nationwide effects now shifting Trump’s method. All the Swing States (extra right here) are actually in Trump’s column, together with Michigan and Wisconsin. Pennsylvania leans extra Trump this day than extreme. In fact, it is going with out announcing that those are all atmosphere polls, subsequently sinful, and many of the effects are throughout the margin of error. Now, if both candidate begins breaking away in issues, rather of tenths of some degree…. NOTE I modified the notation: Up and ill arrows for will increase or decreases over extreme day, circles for deny alternate. Purple = Trump. Blue can be Biden if he had been anyplace, however he isn’t.
* * *
Trump (R) (Bragg/Merchan): “Cross-examination throws Michael Cohen off balance, but belabors point that he hates Trump” [FOX]. Ultimate paragraph: “How much of this is swaying the public? In the latest New York Times poll, just 29% of those in six battleground states say they are paying ‘a lot’ of attention to Trump’s legal woes.”
Trump (R) (Bragg/Merchan): “Trump New York hush-money trial is far from a slam dunk” [BBC]. From again in April: “[Bragg] says Trump Organization records were falsified to conceal or aid criminal activity. But even though the trial begins on Monday, he has not specified the exact crime allegedly hidden. He has however given clues. In court filings and interviews, Mr Bragg has said Mr Trump violated both state and federal election laws, and state tax laws. “The District Attorney’s office is not precluded from presenting to the jury a variety of alternative theories on sort of why the records were falsified,” says Shane T. Stansbury, a former laborer United States Lawyer in Unutilized York’s southern district. However he provides that it’s dense if a atmosphere prosecutor can invoke a federal election crime, as it sounds as if Mr Bragg intends to do. ‘We could have appellate courts and even the US Supreme Court weighing in on some of the federal questions that are part of this theory, so I think we’re far from having decision in this case,’ he says.” • Oh just right.
Trump (R) (Bragg/Merchan): “The Appearance of Michael Cohen: A Wreck in Search of a Race” [Jonathan Turley]. “The calculus of Alvin Bragg is now obvious. He is counting on the jury convicting Trump regardless of the evidence. He believes that all he needs is to check the boxes on the elements of the crime, no matter how unbelievable the vehicle. The reason is that Bragg likely fears a directed verdict more than a jury verdict. After the government closes its evidence, the defense will move for a directed verdict on the basis that the evidence is insufficient to sustain a conviction. In other words, when the prosecution rests this week, Trump’s counsel will stand and ask Merchan to end the case before it is even given to the jury. Many of us agree with that assessment. After three weeks of testimony, there is still confusion on what crime Trump was allegedly seeking to cover up. Bragg has vaguely referred to using the denotation of payments to Daniels as ‘legal expenses’ as a fraud committed to steal the election. However, the election was over when those denotations were made. Moreover, many believe that such a characterization for payments related to a nondisclosure agreement was accurate. (Hillary Clinton’s campaign claimed in the same election that hiding the funding for the Steele dossier as legal expenses was perfectly accurate). Judge Juan Merchan, in my view, has failed repeatedly to protect the rights of the accused in this case. However, he can claim that there was enough alleged to give Bragg the chance to make his case. Thus far he has not done so and, if he is truly neutral, Merchan should grant the motion.” • I believe Turley is table-pounding once more. I uncertainty very a lot Merchan will serve a directed verdict.
Trump (R) (Bragg Merchan): “Trump Should Be Acquitted in Manhattan” [Andrew McCarthy, National Review]. That is neatly utility an entire and cautious learn. “Trump ought to be acquitted for the simplest of reasons: Prosecutors can’t prove their case — neither the case the grand jury actually charged, 34 counts of felony business-records falsification, nor the case that elected progressive Democratic district attorney Alvin Bragg has imagined into existence, an uncharged conspiracy to steal the 2016 election by suppressing politically damaging information in violation of federal campaign-finance law.” The trade information fees: “Under §175.05 of New York’s penal law as relevant here, to establish the misdemeanor, prosecutors must prove that the accused ‘with intent to defraud . . . causes a false entry [to be made] in the business records of an enterprise’ (emphasis added). I have highlighted two elements of the crime because they are discrete and it is vital not to conflate them. If fraudulent intent could be assumed from the fact than an entry is false, the legislature would not have added the words ‘with intent to defraud.’ Both elements must be proved — falsity and fraudulent intent.” And: “As for the entries in the Trump Organization records, testimony at trial this week showed that the bookkeeping department logged payments as ‘legal expenses.’ Not much thought went into this: The bookkeeping department was using a drop-down menu on a computer program designed in the early nineties, and routinely put payments to lawyers and related expenses in this general category. That aside, these were legal expenses. Cohen was Trump’s lawyer when he negotiated the NDA with Daniels’ lawyers and paid the $130,000 to close the deal. That’s an expense incurred in a legal transaction.” McCarthy later is going on to talk about Cohen’s installement bills, the place he thinks Bragg is on less assailable farmland, however this text used to be written earlier than Cohen’s testimony. On election robbery: “Bragg’s fever dream, which he’s trying to spin into an actionable conspiracy offense, is that Trump stole the 2016 election. But that’s partisan hyperbole, not a legal theory. New York has no crime of “election theft”; within the legal regulation, there will also be deny conspiracy except the target of the conspiratorial undertaking is a criminal offense. By means of Bragg’s lighting fixtures — to the level I will wrap my mind round his competition — Trump schemed to deprive the folk of a Hillary Clinton presidency.” On marketing campaign finance, a possible object offense: “Federal campaign-finance laws are abstruse, so Congress unsurprisingly requires prosecutors to prove willfulness beyond a reasonable doubt in criminal cases involving them. Bragg can’t come anywhere close to providing such proof with respect to Trump’s supposed ‘intent’ to violate the laws regarding disclosure of campaign expenditures. Bragg contends that Trump paid money to conceal damaging information (Stormy’s allegation of a tryst) that would have harmed his election bid. Even if that’s true, to bury information in the context of a campaign is not the same thing as willfully transgressing the campaign-finance laws. There is no evidence that the campaign laws factored into Trump’s thinking at all. To the contrary, the evidence cuts the other way Bragg’s prosecutors have made much of Trump’s hands-on management style, his penchant for watching every penny and minimizing costs. If, as Bragg maintains, Trump believed that the Stormy NDA and the reimbursement of Cohen arising out of it were campaign expenditures under federal law, there is no reason to believe that Trump would have paid them out of his own pocket; he would instead have used campaign funds.” And: “Add to this that the FEC — a federal agency that actually has jurisdiction to enforce the campaign laws and expertise in applying them — investigated Trump and decided not to proceed against him. Why is that important? Because the FEC is in charge of civil enforcement. The civil burden of proof of a violation is a mere preponderance of the evidence, a significant step down from the burden on prosecutors to prove criminal offenses beyond a reasonable doubt. If the FEC concluded that it could not prevail against Trump on a civil-law standard, it is absurd to think he could be proved guilty on the daunting criminal-law standard.” • Once more, that is from Would possibly 11, and doesn’t remove Cohen’s testimony, which might talk to intent, into consideration. Nonetheless utility a learn!
Trump (R) (Bragg/Merchan): “Prosecutors say Trump’s hush money was ‘election interference.’ Will jurors — and voters — believe it?” [Politico]. “Despite its tabloid roots in a “catch and kill” scheme aimed toward suppressing the tales of Windy Daniels and Karen McDougal, Bragg’s defenders have described the scheme as a bid to win the White Area in 2016 through fraudulently concealing data from citizens. On this framing, the silence cash scheme used to be a precursor to Trump’s bid to hold directly to energy through illegitimate manner 4 years next. ‘It is an election interference gateway drug,’ stated Norm Eisen, a former Obama White Area ethics attorney who served as a different suggest to the Area Judiciary Committee all through the primary impeachment of Trump. Eisen is at the leading edge of the struggle to rebrand the Unutilized York case and excepted a accumulation previous this age titled, ‘Attempting Trump: A Information to His First Election Interference Felony Trial.’” Nice. What statute did Trump violate? Extra: “[Former Federal Election Commissioner Bradley Smith] said the issue in this case, as in Edwards’, isn’t just whether the defendant had a general understanding of campaign finance law, but could really have known for sure that what he was doing was illegal. ‘The strongest argument for Trump is that in fact there is quite a bit of controversy over whether this is illegal. Look at the FEC’s own rulings,’ Smith said. It’s unclear how Bragg’s prosecutors would meet that burden or if the judge will require them to. Pretrial motions didn’t really tee up the issue. It is likely to arise as the lawyers debate jury instructions or in a motion the defense typically makes asking the judge to toss the case after the prosecution’s witnesses have testified. Eisen said he thinks Justice Juan Merchan will apply a lower standard in the state prosecution [no doubt!]. ‘It’s so much easier than in federal court,” Eisen stated. On the other hand, there’s a possibility to permitting prosecutors to get a conviction with no need to end up that Trump knew he used to be breaking the regulation: That factor may well be sturdy fodder for an attraction and would possibly govern to any accountable verdicts towards Trump being overturned.”
Trump (R) (Bragg/Merchan): “The increasingly embarrassing details at Trump’s trial” [Aaron Blake, WaPo]. “Not only has the testimony tied Trump to an objectively seedy plot to keep Stormy Daniels’s and other people’s allegations against Trump from public view, but it also has occasionally featured some personal details that could live long in 2024 voters’ memories — and potentially campaign ads. And that’s not just when it comes to the salacious details of the alleged sexual encounter.” • “Objectively seedy.” Why, it’s virtually as though that used to be Bragg’s function!
* * *
Trump (R): “Crypto is Trump’s new weapon against Biden” [Politico]. From extreme day: “Donald Trump is making presidential history all over again: He’s poised to be the first major party nominee to court cryptocurrency traders. It’s leaving some Democrats feeling uneasy. Trump told crypto backers at Mar-a-Lago on Wednesday that they ‘better vote’ for him because of the way the Biden administration has unleashed a regulatory crackdown on the industry.” • Politico empty its Rolodex in this one, however I’m guessing the reason is unassuming: Trump is attempting to peel away Kennedy citizens, as a result of Kennedy is pro-crypto. That’s disconcerting, as it manner Trump is appearing like a standard baby-kisser, assembling bundles of verticals. I’m hoping Susie Wiles didn’t get him considering that method, however I quality the alternate, if alternate it’s, to Trump being fasten up in court docket, and no longer with the ability to do A/B trying out at rallies. Stoller has the same opinion:
It is a sinful signal in relation to Trump’s instincts. SBF used to be one of the most largest tales of the age, normies colleague crypto with corruption. https://t.co/aaw3776qC8 percent.twitter.com/bn757zBHyY
— Matt Stoller (@matthewstoller) Would possibly 11, 2024
Trump (R): Wildwood, Unutilized Jersey:
Trump remains to be talking in Wildwood however a lot of the people has left. It’s chilly and he’s been talking 90 mins. This complete branch used to be filled with population when Trump began. percent.twitter.com/r75Gwhwhf1
— Zac Anderson (@zacjanderson) Would possibly 11, 2024
Hmm. Is going with reader observations on inadequency of Trump backyard indicators [musical interlude].
* * *
Haley (R): “Nikki Haley gathers her donors and ignores Trump” [Politico]. “During a private, two-day donor retreat in Charleston, South Carolina, the former South Carolina governor and U.N. ambassador thanked a group of around 100 donors and her team gave a presentation on her campaign’s fundraising and strategy. But Trump was barely mentioned even as Haley continues to rack up votes in primaries despite dropping out of the race in early March. As expected, Haley did not endorse the former president during the retreat, nor did she encourage her supporters to back his campaign, according to attendees at the event. The Charleston retreat showed the former GOP candidate continues to have the backing of an extremely loyal group of donors and supporters who plan to keep following her, even though she has yet to announce her next move beyond joining the Hudson Institute, a conservative Washington, D.C.-based think tank.” • Hmm.
* * *
Biden (D): Biden demanding situations Trump:
Donald Trump misplaced two debates to me in 2020. Since later, he hasn’t proven up for a debate.
Now he’s appearing like he needs to discuss me once more.
Neatly, construct my past, friend. percent.twitter.com/AkPmvs2q4u
— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) Would possibly 15, 2024
Biden (D): “Biden, Trump agree to June presidential debate hosted by CNN” [Axios]. “President Biden and former President Trump have agreed to participate in a June 27 presidential debate hosted by CNN. The CNN debate sets up a televised confrontation before either candidate’s nominations are formally complete and marks their first televised match-up since 2020. The candidates are threatening to cut the nonpartisan Commission on Presidential Debates, which has managed debates since 1988, out of the process. The debate will be held in CNN’s Atlanta studios, the network announced Wednesday. CNN said no audience members will be present. The Biden campaign views the current debates as ‘structured like an entertainment spectacle’ that doesn’t enforce its own rules, per a letter to the commission released Wednesday. The campaign instead wants to work directly with broadcast networks that host both GOP and Democratic primary debates. The letter proposes just the two candidates and a moderator, with no audience. It also suggests microphones that cut off automatically at time limits and when it’s not a candidate’s turn to speak.” • I’m happy to peer the Fee on Presidential Debates get the chop, however why no longer the League of Lady Citizens? Possibly as a result of Biden needs strict keep an eye on over the state — therefore, deny target audience, which I believe is dreadful. Simply make a choice target audience participants at random.
Biden (D): “Biden Offers to Debate Trump, With Terms, Shunning the Debate Commission” [New York Times]. “Mr. Biden and his top aides want the debates to start much sooner than the dates proposed by the Commission on Presidential Debates, so voters can see the two candidates side by side well before early voting begins in September. They want the debate to occur inside a TV studio, with microphones that automatically cut off when a speaker’s time limit elapses. And they want it to be just the two candidates and the moderator — without the raucous in-person audiences that Mr. Trump feeds on and without the participation of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or other independent or third-party candidates.” • I’m certain reducing out Kennedy fits Trump simply high quality.
* * *
Biden (D): “Playbook: The other trials hanging over 2024” [Politico]. “Two radio interviews Biden recorded with Black journalists will air today, one in Milwaukee, and the other in Atlanta … on Thursday, Biden is set to meet with plaintiffs from the landmark Brown v. Board of Education case and their families … on Friday, he will give remarks at an NAACP event featuring the Brown plaintiffs and members of the Little Rock Nine … on Saturday, he heads to Atlanta for a campaign event … and on Sunday, he will give the commencement address at Morehouse College, the legendary all-male HBCU, before traveling to Detroit for the annual NAACP Freedom Fund dinner. It’s quite the run of events, and while most of these have been planned for some time, we’re still struck by (1) the timing — coming just as the new NYT/Siena polls put a new spotlight on his persistent weakness with Black voters — and (2) the conventionality of the outreach here, which leans heavily on a civil-rights focus that might not be especially relevant to the young and politically unengaged voters who are dissatisfied with Biden and flirting with other candidates.” • Making an investment a batch of the marketing campaign’s maximum decent useful resource — the candidate’s occasion — very early, and on a constituency I might suppose they’d locked up.
Biden (D): “Panic or patience? The Democrats’ dilemma as Biden stumbles out of the gate” [Washington Examiner]. “Trump’s leads are not big, at least not in most places, and by historical standards should not be insurmountable. Trump is up by 1.2 points nationally. The RealClearPolitics average shows him ahead by just 0.6 points in Wisconsin. Biden and the Democrats have a money advantage over Trump, enhanced by the fact that only one candidate faces staggering legal bills. The Democratic campaign apparatus should be formidable. This is also extremely early in the general election cycle. Democrats exceeded expectations in the midterm elections. They have added to their coalition higher propensity voters in the Trump era. Biden has dismissed ‘the polling data’ as having been ‘wrong all along’ although that was as much a comment about the public’s conclusions about the economy as the accuracy of the polls. This is an argument for trusting the process and the Biden campaign to methodically erode Trump’s leads in the battleground states in the coming months as voters start paying closer attention. It is a safer bet, these Democrats contend, than trying to force out Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in favor of candidates who did not participate in a primary process the incumbent largely dominated.” • Harris truly does paintings as an insurance coverage. If there may be to be any other candidate (Newsom, Pritzker, whoever) Harris must be thrown below the bus. I don’t see how that occurs, and Cloudy citizens can be unsatisfied (see above two hyperlinks) and really prepared to percentage their sadness. However I will’t consider a extra gravitas-free Presidential candidate than Harris. If the Democrat device is in a position to hanging her within the Oval Place of business, my hat might be off to them.
* * *
WI: “Biden campaign works to woo Black voters in key swing state of Wisconsin” [ABC]. “In his fourth trip to Wisconsin already this year, President Joe Biden on Wednesday, at an intimate [i.e., controlllable in case of disaster] campaign event in the swing state, sought out Black voters to speak about the stakes in November… On Wednesday the campaign announced a new $14 million paid media investment for May that includes seven-figure investments into African American, Hispanic, and AAPI media. Wisconsin has special political significance. It’s part of the critical ‘blue wall’ in the Midwest that voted Democratic for decades before Trump’s candidacy. Biden only won the state over Trump in 2020 by some 20,000 votes. A loss in November would likely be a major blow to his reelection effort. According to the latest Marquette Law School polling, just 37% of Black voters in Wisconsin say they’re ‘very enthusiastic’ about November’s presidential election. The coveted group makes up nearly 7% of the state’s population, according to the 2020 census and 21% in Milwaukee. In a recent Washington Post/Ipsos poll, Biden faces additional problems with Black Americans in terms of turnout. The poll found that 62% of Black Americans say they’re ‘absolutely certain to vote,’ down from 74% in June 2020.”
WV: “Jan. 6 felony rioter Derrick Evans loses GOP House primary in West Virginia” [NBC News]. “Evans’ fundraising emails, with subject lines like “I did time in Prison for Trump,” have highlighted his movements on Jan. 6 as a promoting level for his candidacy. One advert even featured secure video of pretend FBI brokers busting via a window feet-first, when, in truth, video presentations that Evans’ 2021 arrest used to be fairly mundane…. [Rep. Carol Miller], who used to be first elected to the Area in 2018, is a supporter of Trump, and he or she aligned with him in the majority of her votes when he used to be in workplace. Miller used to be even considered one of 147 Republicans who voted towards certifying Joe Biden’s victory upcoming the Capitol assault. Trump didn’t endorse in Miller’s number one.” • Ten paragraphs at the rise up (no longer an “insurrection,” hmm) however deny fresh effects (!), which have been Reed 63%, Miller 37%.
* * *
“Column: A lesson from Presidents Biden and Trump — the new normal is nonstop crises” [Doyle McManus, Los Angeles Times]. “‘People are reeling from the sense that we can’t get going in the right direction,’ said Celinda Lake, one of Biden’s top pollsters, relating sentiments from voters in focus groups. ‘They’ve been shocked by events they never expected: Afghanistan, the war in Ukraine, Gaza, even the wildfires in Maui and the collapse of the bridge in Baltimore.’” • To not point out a virus wherein 1,000,000 population died. “Focus” turns out instead like a misnomer….
Democrats en Déshabillé
“Can the 2024 DNC Thwart Chicago Protests by Going Virtual?” [Ed Kilgore, New York Magazine]. • They’d l-o-o-o-v-e to move digital. If Biden slips a cog, they restrain the tape. And if the Conference leads to a smoke-filled room, no person will be capable of preserve it. The protesters are simply giving them a to hand oblivion for what they need to do anyway.
Pandemics
“I am in earnest — I will not equivocate — I will not excuse — I will not retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
* * *
Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown through zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “Infection Control, Emergency Management, Safety, and General Thoughts” (particularly on hospitalization through town).
Lambert right here: Readers, thank you for the collective struggle. To replace any access, do really feel unfastened to touch me on the cope with given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic series. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater experiences); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Govt of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep barricade in the market!
* * *
Airborne Transmission
“Nukit Tempest Review” [Joey Fox, It’s Airborne]. “Nukit recently created a new air cleaner called the Tempest, which I think could be the best one on the market for many situations. It uses the PC fans to ensure high clean air delivery rate with very low noise…. This is currently the best model for people who want a sturdy and professional looking air cleaner. If I was asked to design a space with in room air cleaners, this is could be the best option, so I’m pickier with this than any other one I’ve seen.”• Even supposing Fox does counsel enhancements, this a heavy thumbs up for Naomi Wu’s corporate from a extremely credible North American supply.
Transmission: H5N1
“How fast is bird flu spreading in US cows? ‘We have no idea’” [The Hill]. “‘Without testing, without surveillance, we have no idea [of the spread],’ [Erin Sorrell, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security] said. ‘We are not able to essentially move forward with an improved approach to protecting agricultural workers from occupational exposures if we don’t understand how they were exposed, and the potential risk of additional people being exposed and infected.’ … Farmers have been reluctant to allow federal health officials onto their land to test potentially infected cattle amid uncertainty about how their businesses would be impacted. Farmworkers have also been reluctant to participate in screening, and experts said it’s likely due to a mix of fears over job loss, immigration status, language barriers and general distrust in public health systems. ‘They are socioeconomically vulnerable. … In some circumstances, it kind of requires the buy-in of the employer to engage in surveillance of these workers. And that hasn’t happened in a substantial way to date,’ said Jessica Leibler, an environmental epidemiologist at Boston University’s school of public health.” • [Family blog] their companies in the event that they rely on inflamed livestock. In fact, that may by no means occur, as a result of libertarians will straight away get started yammering about tyranny. And so they’re gonna yammer us all of the method into the after pandemic.
“Flu season is over, but there is a viral surge in California wastewater. Is it avian flu?” [Los Angeles Times]. “An unusual surge in flu viruses detected at wastewater treatment plants in California and other parts of the country is raising concerns among some experts that H5N1 bird flu may be spreading farther and faster than health officers initially thought. In the last several weeks, wastewater surveillance at 59 of 190 U.S. municipal and regional sewage plants has revealed an out-of-season spike in influenza A flu viruses — a category that also includes H5N1. The testing — which is intended to monitor the prevalence of ‘normal’ flu viruses that affect humans — has also shown a moderate to high upward trend at 40 sites across California, including San Francisco, Oakland and San Diego. Almost every city tested in the Bay Area shows moderate to high increases of type A viruses…. ‘There seems to be an outbreak throughout California, and, as far as I know, they haven’t reported any infected cows in that state yet,’ said Marc Johnson, a professor of molecular microbiology and immunology at the University of Missouri, referring to the cluster of yellow and orange dots on the WastewaterSCAN map. Johnson is among a number of experts urging the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to test specifically for H5N1 and to make those results public.” • Turns out like what CDC from butchering the Covid assessments used to be to keep away from trying out, and, if trying out occurs, cover the effects so long as imaginable. Why the heck isn’t Maskless Mandy in the market jawboning the farmers? Or, for that topic, Biden? Extra from Johnson:
That is a type of occasions when using an H5-specific assay can be helpful.
If that is H5, it could be just right to understand, even we you don’t know exactly the place it’s coming from.
2/2@MarleneKWolfe @WastewaterSCAN @Verily @amylizk https://t.co/lIM0WbxAkq
— Marc Johnson (@SolidEvidence) Would possibly 13, 2024
* * *
“Raw-milk fans plan to drink up as experts warn of high levels of H5N1 virus” [Ars Technica]. “To drink raw milk at any time is to flirt with dangerous germs. But, amid an unprecedented outbreak of H5N1 bird flu in US dairy cows, the risks have ratcheted up considerably. Health experts have stepped up warnings against drinking raw milk during the outbreak, the scope of which is still unknown. Yet, raw milk enthusiasts are undaunted by the heightened risk. The California-based Raw Milk Institute called the warnings ‘clearly fearmongering.’ The institute’s founder, Mark McAfee, told the Los Angeles Times this weekend that his customers are, in fact, specifically requesting raw milk from H5N1-infected cows. According to McAfee, his customers believe, without evidence, that directly drinking high levels of the avian influenza virus will give them immunity to the deadly pathogen.” • A defect that can remedy itself, over occasion….
Maskstravaganza
(The wool features a pattern electronic mail.)
NC’s anti-mask regulation (2):
STOP THE NORTH CAROLINA FACE MASK BAN!
Please remove a past to name and insist this dystopian proposal be unfavourable. Script & numbers underneath.
Sen. Britt: (919) 733-5651Sen. Daniel: (919) 715-7823Sen. Newton: (919) 733-5878 https://t.co/jq7e0ynZiz percent.twitter.com/KrjQihOWZi
— Sawyer Blatz (@SawyerBlatz) Would possibly 14, 2024
NC’s anti-mask regulation (3):
Lung transplant sufferers—many from out of atmosphere—carry MILLIONS of greenbacks into NC’s economic system. We’re REQUIRED to masks in folk for the primary YEAR upcoming. Atmosphere Senator @Buck_Newton will construct that unlawful with #HB237. Inform Dollar NO! Name him at (919) 733-5878 percent.twitter.com/Yg36ZlxSeF
— Cat Williams (@dizzycatdesign) Would possibly 15, 2024
However why the dishevelled blue….
Elite Maleficence
Cleansing the wind for themselves, however no longer for us:
In 2020, it additionally should even have been a admirable privilege to paintings in REHVA’s beneficial air flow measures towards airborne viruses, time many times telling the sector that the unused coronavirus is NOT airborne… https://t.co/nUYSwi1ERe percent.twitter.com/NDJqQEgmNc
— Maarten De Cock (@mdc_martinus) Would possibly 13, 2024
* * *
Lambert right here: Affected person readers, I’m taking to must reconsider this superbly formatted desk. Looks as if Biobot information nonetheless purposes, CDC variant information purposes, ER visits are useless, Unutilized York hospitalization appears to be useless since 5/1 [No, it’s alive!], when CDC banned obligatory health facility information assortment, Walgreens purposes, Cleveland Health center purposes, CDC traveler’s information purposes, Unutilized York Occasions demise information has banned. (Notice that the 2 metrics the hospital-centric CDC cared about, hospitalization and deaths, have each long gone ill). Preferably I might change hospitalization and demise information, however I’m no longer certain how. I may additionally amplify the wastewater category to incorporate (yech) Verily information, H5N1 if I will get it. Ideas and assets welcome.
TABLE 1: Day-to-day Covid Charts
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts unused nowadays; all others aren’t up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution symbol, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) at the chart thumbnail and “open image in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (Biobot) Modest upward motion, supported through the day prior to this’s Walgreen’s positivity.
[2] (Biobot) Deny backward revisons….
[3] (CDC Variants) FWIW, for the reason that the fashion totally neglected KP.2.
[4] (ER) CDC turns out to have killed this off, because the hyperlink is damaged, I believe in bias of this factor. I can aim to verify. UPDATE Sure, drop it to CDC to blast a web page, and later announce it used to be archived a past next. And heaven forfend CDC will have to give an explanation for the place to move to get similar information, if any. I appreciated the ER information, as it appeared truly dry to recreation.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) The knowledge is now updating once more. I assume to a tame epidemiologist it seems like “endemicity,” however to me it seems like any other tranche of lethality.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC) Nonetheless ill. “Maps, charts, and data provided by CDC, updates weekly for the previous MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Department Visits, Test Positivity) and weekly the following Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.
[7] (Walgreens) Modest uptick.
[8] (Cleveland) Leveling out.
[9] (Vacationers: Posivitity) Flattens.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants) JN.1 dominates completely. Nonetheless deny point out of KP.2
[11] Looks as if the Occasions isn’t reporting demise information any further? Possibly I wish to move again to The Economist….
Stats Observe
Inflation: “United States Consumer Price Index (CPI)” [Trading Economics]. “The consumer price index in the United States rose by 3.4% year-over-year to 313.548 points in April 2024, following a 3.5% increase in March and below the market consensus of a 3.4% advance. ” • 3.4% < 3.4%?
Production: “United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to -15.6 in May 2024 from -14.3 in the previous month, below the market consensus of -10.0. The reading suggested that business activity declined for a sixth consecutive month in New York State, with new orders falling significantly and unfilled orders continuing to shrink while shipments held steady. Delivery times shortened, and inventories were little changed. Labor market conditions remained weak, with employment and hours worked continuing to move lower.”
Retail: “United States Retail Sales YoY” [Trading Economics]. “Retail Sales in the United States increased 3% year-on-year in April 2024, following a downwardly revised 3.8% gain in March.”
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Production: “DOJ: Boeing breached 2021 safety agreement that prevented charges for crashes” [Axios]. “The Department of Justice said Boeing breached its obligations under a 2021 agreement that allowed it to avoid criminal prosecution for two fatal 737 MAX crashes, according to a court filing Tuesday. Under the agreement, Boeing paid more than $2.5 billion to settle criminal charges related to a conspiracy to defraud the Federal Aviation Administration allegations in connection with the FAA’s investigation into the jet crashes that killed 346 people in 2018 and 2019. The DOJ said in a letter to U.S. District Judge Reed O’Connor in Fort Worth, Texas, that Boeing failed to ‘design, implement, and enforce a compliance and ethics program to prevent and detect violations of the U.S. fraud laws throughout its operations,’ per Reuters.” • Whoopsie.
Production: “Ex-Boeing engineer sidelined after a 787 critique defends troubled plane” [Dominic Gates, Seattle Times]. “Salehpour’s main allegations center on how the large 787 fuselage sections are fastened together with a “splice plate” across the round tie among them. (He made detached allegations about broke production property on Boeing’s 777 jet.) His fear at the 787 is how Boeing offers with modest gaps at the ones main fuselage joins. Those gaps aren’t alongside the circumference of the tie however throughout the plane, between the splice plate and the surface of the fuselage. Salehpour claims the forces Boeing mechanics practice to near those gaps all through ultimate meeting can injury the carbon composite pores and skin across the fasteners on the tie — risking a significant structural failure… Hart-Smith [also a Boeing dissident] believes Salehpour is flawed. His research helps Boeing’s insistence that the 787 fuselage gaps aren’t a security possibility. Salehpour is ‘right in theory that if you have to apply too much force to close the gaps during assembly, that could damage the structure,’ Hart-Smith stated in a telephone interview from Australia. ‘But it appears the gaps are not big enough to make that happen. ‘It’s no longer a security factor.’” • That might be great.
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Nowadays’s Worry & Greed Index: 59 Greed (earlier near: 52 Impartial) [CNN]. One day in the past: 41 (Worry). (0 is Terminating Worry; 100 is Terminating Greed). Extreme up to date Would possibly 15 at 1:49:41 PM ET.
The Gallery
A non-creepy Balthus!
Obese Ground with Cow https://t.co/NaLt0pV7K6 percent.twitter.com/ICWjSgbXUH
— Balthus (@artistbalthus) Would possibly 3, 2024
Magnificence Struggle
“Trypillia mega-sites: a social levelling concept?” [Antiquity]. “Explanations for the emergence and abandonment of the Chalcolithic Trypillia mega-sites have long been debated. Here, the authors use Gini coefficients based on the sizes of approximately 7000 houses at 38 Trypillia sites to assess inequality between households as a factor in the rise and/or demise of these settlements. The results indicate temporarily reduced social inequality at mega-sites. It was only after several generations that increased social differentiation re-emerged and this may explain the subsequent abandonment of the mega-sites. The results indicate that increases in social complexity need not be associated with greater social stratification and that large aggregations of population can, for a time at least, find mechanisms to reduce inequality.” • Hmm.
Information of the Stressed
“How Google Became Evil” [Dana Blankenhorn, Facing the Future]. “When a company loses its passion, when it tosses employee morale in the sink, it’s time to walk away. I dumped my Alphabet (Google) stock last week. Google began losing its way the day co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin left. They’re now the 6th and 7th richest people in the world. Their fortunes, taken together, would rank them 1st, by a huge margin. What are they doing? Not much. Page ‘invests in start-ups’ and ‘life extension.’ Brin has hosted a baby shower where adults wore diapers. These are no longer serious people. Yet both retain their voting stock meaning they, and in time their kids, will be absolute rulers of all Google domains.” • Oh.
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Touch data for vegetation: Readers, really feel unfastened to touch me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a test if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me pictures of vegetation. Greens are high quality! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you wish to have your take care of to seem as a credit score, please playground it initially of your mail in parentheses: (thus). Another way, I can anonymize through the use of your initials. See the former Aqua Cooler (with plant) right here. From IM:
IM writes: “The dearth of pines did not go unnoticed. A ponderosa pine from the ancient gneiss bluffs above vaseaux lake in the south okanagan. More than 400 days old I’m guessing.” According to the day prior to this’s bonus plant, which I repost, with statement:
Future-lapse of a pine tree in 300 days
📹 Field Lapse.percent.twitter.com/oaDsHmRQeY
— Be informed One thing (@cooltechtipz) January 6, 2024
I will have to pair this with a pine tree, however I don’t appear to have one within the queue….
And a pine tree magically gave the impression!
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Readers: Aqua Cooler is a standalone entity no longer lined through the yearly NC fundraiser. So when you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see anyplace else, please don’t hesitate to precise your revere in tangible method. Consider, a tip jar is for tipping! Habitual certain comments each makes me really feel just right and we could me know I’m not off course with protection. When I am getting deny donations for 3 or 4 days I am getting fearful. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations is helping me with bills, and I consider that trickle when surroundings fundraising objectives:
This is the display that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
In the event you dislike PayPal, you’ll be able to electronic mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I can come up with instructions on methods to ship a test. Thanks!
