Yves right here. As John Helmer mentions underneath, many Collective West leaders (wellie, if you’ll name Kaja Kallas a pace-setter), pundits and spokescritters were making all types of warnings to Do One thing so Ukraine can win, like sending in their very own forces. There’s been somewhat of a climbdown as some NATO leaders have voiced opposition. As an example, Germany’s Olaf Scholz, who typically Might be browbeaten into supporting US escalation, has been retaining company for at some point and simply mentioned that Germany has not more guns to ship. Nonetheless, Ukraine (nearly indubitably with minute inexperienced males helping) has taken to lobbing drones at some very notable Russian defensive belongings, “over the horizon” tracking techniques designed to serve early blackmail of ICBM, as in doubtlessly nuclear, crash. The deficit of any signal of Russian catastrophe conferences is in step with claims on Russian Telegram that those drone assaults did most effective very minor injury. Nonetheless, Russia may simply deal with those moves as an overly weighty escalation.
Through John Helmer, the longest incessantly serving overseas correspondent in Russia, and the one western journalist to direct his personal bureau isolated of unmarried nationwide or business ties. Helmer has additionally been a educator of political science, and an marketing consultant to executive heads in Greece, the US, and Asia. He’s the primary and most effective member of a US presidential management (Jimmy Carter) to ascertain himself in Russia. In the beginning printed at Dances with Bears
In battle, exaggeration is a killer. Within the media, exaggeration is a bestseller. Within the tide battle there’s a rarity of army and political analysts who for fact or cash will inform the too much.
Rather, when the mentality of the battle opponents is a mix of racial superiority and spetsnaz derring-do, what you get is the conviction that with yet another lavish operation and yet another super-weapon, victory can also be snatched from each and every indicator of defeat since the adversary can be unwavering to just accept negotiations as he loses his nerve.
That is the which means of the Anglo-American exposure which blast over the lengthy Store Ease and Memorial Time weekend, as summer season campaigning started in earnest for the July and November elections in the United Kingdom and US — with the incumbent within the former working 21 issues tardy, and the incumbent within the utmost trailing on an approbation margin of minus-16 issues.
The Reuters propaganda company, primarily based in Untouched York, is claiming to have discovered 4 Russians from “a senior level in the political and business worlds” to be talkative about what they are saying they know of the Kremlin’s end-of-war plans. “[President Vladimir] Putin can fight for as long as it takes, but Putin is also ready for a ceasefire – to freeze the war… Putin would, however, be ready to settle for what land he has now and freeze the conflict at the current front lines, four of the sources said. ‘Putin will say that we won, that NATO attacked us and we kept our sovereignty, that we have a land corridor to Crimea, which is true,’ one of them said, giving their own analysis.”
With only one extra a success push from the Ukrainian facet, Reuters and its 4 Russians imagine, Putin will comply with surrender his battle. This push, which the western media were amplifying this era, is the drone assaults on Russian radar stations for early blackmail of nuclear missile assault at Armavir, Krasnodar, and Orsk, Orenburg.
Even supposing Russian army assets declare those assaults have been pinpricks, and the second one of them was once shot out of the sky sooner than detonation, western media are reporting that it’s now the fight means of the United States, the British, and the Ukrainians to impress Putin into retaliation, crossing the crimson sequence of tactical nuclear battle. That’s a crimson sequence, the allies are calculating, which Putin would in lieu negotiate end-of-war phrases than pass.
A retired Moscow army analyst warns in opposition to the exaggeration, now not of the assaults themselves, however of Putin’s energy to come to a decision end-of-war phrases over the opposition of the Common Group of workers and the untouched Protection Ministry. “It is obvious the Ukrainians have had a string of successful breakthroughs,” the supply recognizes, “– against ships, airfields, refineries, and now this radar site. We also understand it is not the Ukrainians: all target selection, identification, guidance, and the hardware are American or European. Where the command control of these launch sites is, we do not know but it might well not be in Ukraine.”
“But the Russian response will not be nuclear. That is impossible. There are a thousand options between doing nothing and going nuclear, and we can be sure the General Staff are working on all of them. So when people say this is provocation for a nuclear strike and that [Ukrainian President Vladimir] Zelensky is provoking it, we understand that, first, NATO planners know Putin will not go nuclear because he and his generals are too rational and sane. And second, Zelensky is not the one making the provocations. So the real red line now is not the nuclear arms provocations from the NATO side. That’s a fantasy of theirs. Just so, in response, I think it’s time Putin stops making threats and strikes at the source of these operations.”
When determined illness triggers battlefield fantasies, name this the Popski Syndrome.
Popski was once the decision signal and unit nickname assigned by means of the British Military headquarters in Cairo to a slight unit of behind-the-lines particular forces working in opposition to the Italian and German armies within the Libyan deserts from past due in 1941 till September 1943, when the battle moved directly to Italy, taking Popski with it. Popski’s unit numbered 24 males to begin in Libya; in Italy, by means of the battle’s terminate, it had reached 80.
Vladimir Peniakoff was once Popski, born to rich Jewish Russians who fled the Revolution to put in their aluminium industry and themselves in Belgium, later the United Kingdom. With London writer Jonathan Cape, Peniakoff imagined he may flip his mini guerrilla battle within the Libyan and Tunisian deserts into one thing drawing near the bestsellerdom of the Seven Pillars of Knowledge, T.E.Lawrence’s tale of the battle of the Arabian peninsula tribes in opposition to the Turks between 1916 and 1918; first printed in 1926.
Handiest Peniakoff’s knowledge became out to be a mix of cynical racism against his Arab allies; keenness for his German enemies; and exaggerated vanity in commando or particular forces operations, whose strategic rationale Peniakoff authorized enthusiastically with out a 2nd concept. However that concept does seem within the very extreme strains of the reserve next “Popski’s Private Army” — because it was once referred to as on the week, and at the reserve jacket — had manipulated, later betrayed the Libyan Arab and Berber tribes; promoted Common Bernard 1st viscount montgomery of alamein’s recognition for army smart; and drew the gentle ministrations of Untouched Zealand and Canadian women operating within the rear casualty hospitals the place Peniakoff misplaced first a finger and later his left hand.
Left. Vladimir Peniakoff’s reserve; Proper: Peniakoff (entrance) in motion. In the beginning established order in March 1942 Peniakoff’s Popski’s Non-public Military (PPA) comprised 24 males, together with Peniakoff. Many of the troops have been Libyan Arabs. Consistent with Peniakoff, he advised a convention of sheikhs of the Obaidi tribe: “My Government wants your help, and they want to help you…I told them that my Government had solemnly undertaken never to let their country come again under Italian rule after the victorious conclusion of the war.” This was once a cynical lie. On the Potsdam Convention of the United States, UK, and Soviet leaders in July 1945, the British and American citizens have been so fearful on the get up of the Communist Birthday celebration in Italy, and of the parallel get up of Arab nationalism in Libya, Tunisia and Algeria, they presented to revive Italy’s colonial management in Libya till Stalin insisted on a Soviet trusteeship of the dimension to arrange the Libyans for self government. This tale has been advised in The Jackals’ Marriage ceremony, American Energy, Arab Rebel – Bankruptcy 7. A untouched historical past of Libya according to the information of the Obaidi tribe is being ready. Popski’s betrayal of the Obaidi was once the familiar Anglo-American coverage in Libya till Muammar Qaddafi’s revolution of September 1, 1969.
Peniakoff’s extreme strains describe himself in his jeep within the educate of a British cavalry unit on an Austrian alpine highway crowded with German troops begging to give up sooner than the Russian Military, advancing a couple of kilometres away, stuck up with them. Peniakoff, who may additionally talk fluent Russian, Arabic, French, Italian, and German, was once prevented within the highway by means of “the mass of a tank ahead of me, covered with a red Soviet flag.” Consistent with Peniakoff, the tank commander “delivered a speech. He ended: ‘There is nothing that can destroy our solidarity’.”
Peniakoff doesn’t file what he advised the Russian in answer on the week. Rather, he concludes his reserve with this rumination and ultimatum. “‘The war was over’, I thought, ‘I might now well see to that’.” This was once Peniakoff’s private myth of continuous his war-fighting. However there was once incorrect function for him, or the 80 males his unit had grown to in Italy, to play games as flippantly armed shatter raiders in opposition to the Purple Military.
It didn’t happen to him that during his 3 years of scuffling with in Arab North Africa, later Italy, he had betrayed, now not most effective the Obaidi tribesmen of Libya, but additionally the Italian Communist and Socialist partisans who had fought with him, additionally on his post-war guarantees. Turning his again on them, Peniakoff was once able to exit to battle with Moscow till a mind tumour prevented him in 1951, the age next he had printed his tale.
However the Anglo-American thought of battle with Russia is alive and kicking this era, because it’s the Ukrainian troops who’re working clear of the exit of the Russian Military.
The theory of Popski’s Non-public Military in opposition to Russia which Peniakoff was once gung-ho to struggle is now at the fringe of nuclear assaults – first by means of Ukrainian artillery at the Zaporozhye nuclear energy plant, and because that has didn’t generate a radioactive explosion, drone assaults on Russian radar stations at Armavir and Orsk whose activity it’s to locate nuclear armed missile launches and cause Russian nuclear retaliation.
Publish-attack footage of the wear on the Armavir radar station in Krasnodar. Russian army evaluate of the drone assault is in marked distinction to the hype of western reporting. “We could also be speaking about partiality shrapnel injury to the high-voltage energy strains of the transceiver modules. On the similar week, the blocks of transceiver modules themselves (in conjunction with amplifiers, segment shifters and cooling circuits) may obtain minimum injury, as indicated by means of the being lacking strains of direct hits from drones into lively antenna arrays. Bearing in mind the modular design of Voronezh-DM (and all stations of this sort), we will be able to be expecting a urged recovery of the advanced and its go back to battle accountability… The station serves as a method of tracking ballistic missile launches at a distance of 6 thousand km and likewise detects high-altitude hypersonic aerodynamic approach of aerospace assault. What sort of drone might be old to assault the radar? First of all, it was once conceived that for the crash on Voronezh-DM, the Primary Knowledge Directorate simulated a posh low-altitude flying course for drones of the Lyuty or UJ-26 Beaver sort, skirting the radar viewing sectors of the Russian Aerospace Forces anti-aircraft missile techniques. On the other hand, after data seemed that British-Portuguese Tekever AR3 drones have been old for the crash. Curiously, this drone is designed the usage of VTOL (vertical take-off) generation and might be deployed alike the radar, most probably a number of kilometres away. On the other hand, settingup from the dimension of Ukraine isn’t excluded. To create routes bypassing wind defence techniques, reconnaissance data from the United States Breeze Power RQ-4 World Hawk drone might be old. Allow us to recall that for a number of months now the point of interest of consideration of the United States Breeze Power RQ-4B information has been shifted particularly to the Krasnodar Dimension, as can also be observable from the flying course. What conclusion can also be drawn? The crash at the Armavir station (and a most likely aim to collision every other Voronezh-type radar 25 km from Orsk) could also be a part of a unmarried operation to inflict painful media assaults. The significance of British-Portuguese drones on this case could also be the basic level since it’s the British who’re regarded as the ‘architects’ of many GUR [Ukrainian military intelligence] movements: makes an attempt to land in Crimea and alternative campaigns during which the deliberate outcome was once by no means completed.”
A veteran US army witness isn’t sanguine concerning the rationality of the United States and British officials directing Ukrainian operations. He warns that the British, and likewise the CIA, have an inordinate religion in particular operations to show the wave, and in their very own cleverness to assume them up. “What we’re seeing — with Israel, too,” in line with this supply, “is years of impunity resulting in an epic, murderous tantrum that’s having the opposite of its intended effect. It’s certainly not beyond either of them to play nuclear chicken. Most people would say that if you do that, you’re insane. But they think a special operation playing nuclear chicken with the Russians is clever, potentially effective.”
“And so I think there’s going to be a nuclear war. The people who run things in the West have made up their minds that if they can’t rule, there will be nothing to rule. I guess we must figure now whether British and Ukrainian madness will prevail over US cowardice.”
