Canada is predicted to win a complete of twenty-two medals, together with six gold, on the Paris Summer season Olympics, which open on July 26.
This forecast is finished by Nielsen’s Gracenote Sports activities, which provides statistical evaluation for sports activities leagues all over the world. It additionally tracks main competitions involving Olympic sports activities main as much as the Video games. Gracenote’s rankings are primarily based on total medals received, though others focus the rankings on gold totals.
Canada received 24 medals, together with seven gold, on the Tokyo Olympics in 2021, which was the nation’s most profitable Video games outdoors the 44 received on the 1984 Los Angeles Olympics, which was hit by a Soviet-led boycott from Japanese Bloc international locations.
The US and China are anticipated to complete 1-2 within the gold and the general medal counts on the Paris Olympics, which open in 100 days.
The US is projected to win 123 medals total, together with 39 golds. China is projected to win 35 gold and 89 medals total. The 2 additionally completed 1-2 in each classes three years in the past within the pandemic-delayed Tokyo Olympics.
This might be the eighth straight time america has received essentially the most total medals within the Summer season Video games. In 1992 at Barcelona, the so-called Unified staff topped the general rely. These athletes had been from the previous Soviet Union, which had simply damaged up as a sovereign state.
The final time america didn’t high the gold-medal rely within the Summer season Video games was within the 2008 Olympics in Beijing, the place China invested closely and noticed dividends.
Subsequent according to total and gold totals are: Britain (66-13), France (55-28), Australia (50-13), Japan (49-13), Italy (47-12), Netherlands (38-18), Germany (36-9), South Korea (24-9).
The following 10 are: Canada (22-6), Spain (20-5), Hungary (19-5), Brazil (18-9), Turkey (13-4), Ethiopia (13-3), Uzbekistan (13-3), Ukraine (13-3), Georgia (12-3) and Denmark (11-5).
Host nations at all times get a bump in medals, and France is predicted to get a giant one and enhance its total complete from 33 in Tokyo. France is forecast to almost triple its gold-medal output from Tokyo, the place Japan picked up a file haul.
Acting at house is a bonus, partly as a result of host nations make investments extra closely in coaching athletes. Then, in fact, there are adoring house crowds.
France can also be competing in 25 totally different sports activities in Paris, far above its common in latest Olympics of between 15 and 19, in line with Gracenote’s evaluation.
The unknown issue is the presence of Russian and — to a lesser extent — Belarusian athletes. They’ve been absent from most worldwide competitions during the last two years due to the warfare in Ukraine. Their affect is tough to issue into the forecast, Gracenote acknowledges.
“It seems that there will likely be restricted participation of those athletes (Russian and Belarusian),” Gracenote stated. It stated it expects its predictions to be correct “primarily based on the info that we have now.”
Russia and Belarus are barred from staff sports activities on the Olympics due to the warfare in Ukraine and the Worldwide Olympic Committee has laid out a two-step vetting process for particular person athletes from these international locations to be granted impartial standing.
These athletes should first be accepted by the governing physique of their particular person sport after which by an IOC-appointed evaluate panel.
