Democratic Gov. Janet Mills let a invoice turn out to be legislation with out her signature that provides Maine’s 4 Electoral Faculty votes to the Nationwide Fashionable Vote Interstate Compact, underneath which member states would collectively award their electoral votes to the winner of the nationwide well-liked vote. Importantly, the compact would come into drive solely as soon as states with a majority of electoral votes have joined to make sure the favored vote winner turns into president.
At present, the winner of the statewide vote in Maine earns electoral votes, whereas whichever candidate wins in both of the state’s two congressional districts will get one extra vote per district. That system will stay in place till the compact is activated, which means Donald Trump will seemingly win an electoral vote within the red-leaning 2nd District this yr whereas Joe Biden secures Maine’s different three electoral votes, simply as in 2020.
Republicans nearly unanimously opposed the brand new laws, and so they might try and put a referendum on November’s poll that will droop the legislation till the election; if voters agree, the legislation can be repealed. Nevertheless, an identical repeal vote in Colorado failed in 2020, which was the one time that voters in any state have voted instantly on the proposal.
The compact’s 18 present members (which embrace Washington, D.C.) presently have 209 of the 270 electoral votes wanted to activate it. As a result of Republicans have usually opposed the settlement, its final passage will seemingly depend on Democrats profitable energy in a number of extra states. That might occur by 2028, as there’s a troublesome but actual path to victory, as illustrated within the map on the high of this story (click on right here to enlarge) and on this companion spreadsheet.
The compact moved nearer to the 270 mark final yr as a consequence of Democratic-led drives in Minnesota, which added its 10 electoral votes to the compact, and in Nevada, which took step one in a multiyear course of that might see the state contribute its six electoral votes by 2026.
In Michigan, in the meantime, a state Home committee superior a invoice final yr so as to add that state’s 15 electoral votes to the alliance. The Senate, nonetheless, has but to take motion, and the Home has been tied since November after two Democrats have been elected to native workplaces. But when Democrats win particular elections for these seats on Tuesday, they may as soon as once more press ahead.