New poll shows when Republicans talk about abortion, they’re losing

A brand new Civiqs ballot for Every day Kos reveals why the problem of abortion is so perilous for the Republican Celebration, with voters viewing themselves as considerably extra aligned with Democrats on the matter.

By 15 factors, registered voters say their opinion on abortion is nearer to that of Democrats of their states than Republicans, at 48% to 33%, in line with the ballot launched Wednesday.

President Joe Biden additionally fares 8 factors higher than Donald Trump on the query of how voters assume the candidates’ abortion views monitor with their very own, with 44% selecting Biden in comparison with 36% choosing Trump.

Democratic lawmakers possible carried out barely higher than Biden on the abortion measure partly as a result of voters typically view Trump as extra socially liberal on abortion than most Republican lawmakers total.

As an illustration, a December 2023 Knowledge for Progress ballot discovered that roughly two-thirds of voters believed congressional Republicans would take motion to go a nationwide abortion ban in the event that they took management of Congress in 2024, rating solely second to the idea that they’d construct a wall on the southern border. In the meantime, solely 48% of voters stated Trump would go a nationwide abortion ban as president, placing the problem seventh on his possible to-do checklist. 

The disparity between how voters view Republicans lawmakers versus Trump on abortion is strictly why the Biden marketing campaign hammered Trump’s pretzel twisting on abortion final week after Arizona’s Supreme Courtroom ordered the enforcement of a draconian Civil Battle-era abortion ban.

The Biden marketing campaign’s fast response group additionally made an specific effort to hyperlink Trump to anti-abortion zealot Home Speaker Mike Johnson, deploying roughly 18 tweets in a 24-hour interval that includes the 2 males collectively. 

Notably, the Civiqs ballot additionally discovered that independents view Democrats as extra carefully aligned with their abortion views than Republicans by 12 factors, at 41% to 29%. Biden and Trump run about even amongst independents, with 35% saying their views monitor extra carefully with Biden’s, and 36% selecting Trump. 

The underside line: Any time candidates of both get together discuss abortion or the subject dominates the headlines—as occurred final week—it’s a win for Democrats and Biden.

Zachary Mueller is the senior analysis director for America’s Voice and America’s Voice Training Fund. He brings his experience on immigration politics to speak about how a lot cash the GOP is utilizing to advertise its racist immigration campaigns.

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