Slicing NHS ready lists was one in all Rishi Sunak’s priorities for final yr, and figures launched on Thursday present he’s nonetheless a way from attaining this goal.
Whereas ready lists are falling, they continue to be larger than they had been when he made his promise – one in all 5 that included halving inflation, rising the financial system, slicing debt and “stopping the boats”.
By the tip of final yr, most of these priorities had nonetheless not been achieved, leaving work to be completed in 2024.
Beneath, the PA information company has checked out every of his 5 priorities and whether or not or not he has achieved them within the early months of this yr.
– Halve inflation
The Prime Minister met his pledge to halve inflation in 2023.
Mr Sunak wanted inflation to fall to under 5.4% so as to meet his goal, and the ultimate figures for final yr confirmed this had been achieved, with inflation falling to 4% by December.
Economists instructed the autumn in inflation was largely resulting from decrease vitality prices and rising rates of interest somewhat than Authorities motion, however Mr Sunak hailed the figures on the time.
However progress has not been linear, with inflation rising barely from November to December earlier than falling once more at the beginning of 2024, reaching 3.4% in February.
– Develop the financial system
Progress over 2023 was weak, with the UK falling right into a recession within the second half of the yr.
ONS estimates recommend that the financial system grew by simply 0.1% over the entire yr, with the primary three months of 2023 being the one quarter of the yr that noticed any progress.
January 2024 noticed the return of some progress, with the financial system increasing by 0.2%, however the total image remains to be one in all stagnation and it’s tough for the Prime Minister to say success on this depend.
In per capita phrases, which have a better bearing on dwelling requirements, the image is even worse with the UK experiencing seven successive quarters of contraction.
– Scale back debt
The nationwide debt rose over the course of 2023, and stays at ranges not seen for the reason that early Nineteen Sixties.
Figures for December 2023 recommend the whole nationwide debt stood at 97.7% – larger than it was a yr earlier when it stood at 95.8%.
Revisions to earlier figures imply nationwide debt climbed pretty steadily over the course of 2023, and underlying debt (excluding the Financial institution of England) has additionally elevated, though not fairly as quickly.
Since then, debt fell barely, reaching 97.1% of GDP in February 2024, though that is nonetheless larger than the 94.8% recorded a yr earlier.
However Mr Sunak has nonetheless claimed some success on this measure, with the Workplace for Finances Accountability forecasting debt to fall between 2027/28 and 2028/29, assembly the Chancellor’s fiscal rule.
– Lower NHS ready lists
NHS ready lists stay larger than they had been when the Prime Minister made his pledge to chop them, however have continued to fall from their peak.
The ready record for NHS remedy reached an estimated 7.54 million in February, up from 7.21 million in January 2023 when Mr Sunak made his pledge to chop ready lists.
Mr Sunak admitted in the direction of the tip of final yr that he had failed to chop NHS ready lists, regardless of pledging to do that at the beginning of 2023.
However the Prime Minister nonetheless claimed some success on Thursday with the publication of the most recent knowledge, which confirmed ready lists had fallen for the fifth month in a row after reaching a peak of seven.77 million in September.
He mentioned: “At present’s statistics clearly present we’re making headway in the direction of that purpose.
“A drop of just about 200,000 within the final 5 months reveals what the NHS can do for sufferers.”
Thursday’s figures additionally confirmed a major drop within the variety of folks ready greater than 18 months for remedy, which had risen in every of the earlier six months.
Nevertheless, some 36,000 folks ready for group remedy, which included among the folks ready the longest, weren’t included within the figures.
– Cease the boats
The Prime Minister was compelled to confess in December that there isn’t any “agency date” for “stopping the boats”, regardless of making it one in all his priorities for 2023.
A complete of 29,437 folks crossed the Channel in small boats in 2023 and, whereas this represents a discount from 45,755 in 2022, the crossings are nonetheless a good distance from ending.
In addition they seem to have began growing once more, with 5,517 folks having made the crossing to this point this yr, in comparison with 4,899 in the identical interval in 2023.
Challenged by choose committee chairs on the Home of Commons Liaison Committee in December, Mr Sunak mentioned there may be now no “exact” date for attaining this goal.
In the meantime, the Rwanda coverage, which Mr Sunak believes will probably be a robust deterrent to additional crossings, stays doubtful as laws to beat the Supreme Courtroom’s objections is caught between the Lords and Commons.
